activity
20162026
most citedNested conformal prediction and quantile out-of-bag ensemble methods

72 citations · 231 across the 61 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing 2021Show all

7 papers · 1 filter

stat.AP2021★ 1 cited

Improving Fairness in Criminal Justice Algorithmic Risk Assessments Using Optimal Transport and Conformal Prediction Sets

Richard A. Berk, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla, Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

In the United States and elsewhere, risk assessment algorithms are being used to help inform criminal justice decision-makers. A common intent is to forecast an offender's ``future…

stat.ME2021★ 8 cited

Theory for identification and Inference with Synthetic Controls: A Proximal Causal Inference Framework

Xu Shi, Kendrick Li, Wang Miao +2

Synthetic control (SC) methods are commonly used to estimate the treatment effect on a single treated unit in panel data settings. An SC is a weighted average of control units buil…

stat.ME2021

maars: Tidy Inference under the 'Models as Approximations' Framework in R

Riccardo Fogliato, Shamindra Shrotriya, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Linear regression using ordinary least squares (OLS) is a critical part of every statistician's toolkit. In R, this is elegantly implemented via lm() and its related functions. How…

math.ST2021

Median bias of M-estimators

Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this note, we derive bounds on the median bias of univariate M-estimators under mild regularity conditions. These requirements are not sufficient to imply convergence in distrib…

math.ST2021★ 1 cited

The HulC: Confidence Regions from Convex Hulls

Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla, Sivaraman Balakrishnan, Larry Wasserman

We develop and analyze the HulC, an intuitive and general method for constructing confidence sets using the convex hull of estimates constructed from subsets of the data. Unlike cl…

stat.ME2021

Nested Conformal Prediction Sets for Classification with Applications to Probation Data

Arun K. Kuchibhotla, Richard A. Berk

Risk assessments to help inform criminal justice decisions have been used in the United States since the 1920s. Over the past several years, statistical learning risk algorithms ha…

stat.ME2021★ 9 cited

Selection and Aggregation of Conformal Prediction Sets

Yachong Yang, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Conformal prediction is a generic methodology for finite-sample valid distribution-free prediction. This technique has garnered a lot of attention in the literature partly because…