Can the universe afford inflation?
arXiv:hep-th/0405270 · doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.70.063528
Abstract
Cosmic inflation is envisioned as the ``most likely'' start for the observed universe. To give substance to this claim, a framework is needed in which inflation can compete with other scenarios and the relative likelihood of all scenarios can be quantified. The most concrete scheme to date for performing such a comparison shows inflation to be strongly disfavored. We analyze the source of this failure for inflation and present an alternative calculation, based on more traditional semiclassical methods, that results in inflation being exponentially favored. We argue that reconciling the two contrasting approaches presents interesting fundamental challenges, and is likely to have a major impact on ideas about the early universe.
10 pages including 1 figure and two appendices. V2: Final version accepted for publication in PRD. The content and conclusions are unchanged. References have been added and typos corrected. A new appendix outlines the relationship of this paper to issues previously raised by Penrose and others
References in corpus (3)
Cited by in corpus (110)
- In the Realm of the Hubble tension a Review of Solutions
- The Mathematical Universe
- Inflationary paradigm in trouble after Planck2013
- Thermodynamic Volumes and Isoperimetric Inequalities for de Sitter Black Holes
- Sinks in the Landscape, Boltzmann Brains, and the Cosmological Constant Problem
- Boltzmann brains and the scale-factor cutoff measure of the multiverse
- Holographic Description of AdS Cosmologies
- A CMB/Dark Energy Cosmic Duality
- Predicting the cosmological constant with the scale-factor cutoff measure
- Spontaneous Inflation and the Origin of the Arrow of Time
- Is Our Universe Natural?
- Populating the Landscape: A Top Down Approach
- Holographic Multiverse
- Dynamics and instability of false vacuum bubbles
- A global picture of quantum de Sitter space
- Freak observers and the measure of the multiverse
- Law without law: from observer states to physics via algorithmic information theory
- Two Tunnels to Inflation
- Stationary Measure in the Multiverse
- Is Our Universe Decaying at an Astronomical Rate?
- The Born Rule Dies
- How unitary cosmology generalizes thermodynamics and solves the inflationary entropy problem
- Cycles in the Multiverse
- Science in a Very Large Universe
- Origin of probabilities and their application to the multiverse
- Cosmological Measures without Volume Weighting
- Susskind's Challenge to the Hartle-Hawking No-Boundary Proposal and Possible Resolutions
- Regulating Eternal Inflation II: The Great Divide
- Unitary Evolution and Cosmological Fine-Tuning
- De Sitter Space as a Tensor Network: Cosmic No-Hair, Complementarity, and Complexity
- The clock ambiguity and the emergence of physical laws
- Schottky Anomaly of deSitter Black Holes
- Cosmic Equilibration: A Holographic No-Hair Theorem from the Generalized Second Law
- Transient Observers and Variable Constants, or Repelling the Invasion of the Boltzmann's Brains
- Why the Universe Started from a Low Entropy State
- Islands in the Lambda-sea: An alternative cosmological model
- Eternal Inflation, past and future
- Arrows of time and the beginning of the universe
- The distribution of Omega_k from the scale-factor cutoff measure
- de Sitter equilibrium as a fundamental framework for cosmology
- Vacuum Structure and the Arrow of Time
- How Likely are Constituent Quanta to Initiate Inflation?
- Cyclic Inflation
- Does Inflation Provide Natural Initial Conditions for the Universe?
- Typical and extreme entropies of long-lived isolated quantum systems
- What if Time Really Exists?
- Bubble collisions and measures of the multiverse
- Negative vacuum energy densities and the causal diamond measure
- Inflation, Large Branes, and the Shape of Space
- Modifications to Cosmological Power Spectra from Scalar-Tensor Entanglement and their Observational Consequences
- Brane Decay from the Origin of Time
- Black holes, information, and locality
- Limitations of anthropic predictions for the cosmological constant : Cosmic Heat Death of Anthropic Observers
- First Principles Numerical Demonstration of Emergent Decoherent Histories
- Some Late-time Asymptotics of General Scalar-Tensor Cosmologies
- Solutions to the Cosmic Initial Entropy Problem without Equilibrium Initial Conditions
- Eternal Inflation, Global Time Cutoff Measures, and a Probability Paradox
- Reheating-volume measure for random-walk inflation
- Out of equilibrium: understanding cosmological evolution to lower-entropy states
- A Fly in the SOUP
- Cosmic curvature from de Sitter equilibrium cosmology
- The Most Probable Size of the Universe
- Einselection, Equilibrium and Cosmology
- Early-Time Measure in Eternal Inflation
- What kind of science is cosmology?
- Curvature Constraints from the Causal Entropic Principle
- A signature of anisotropic bubble collisions
- Symmetric-Bounce Quantum State of the Universe
- Reheating-volume measure in the landscape
- Measures for a Transdimensional Multiverse
- Agnesi Weighting for the Measure Problem of Cosmology
- The CMB and the measure of the multiverse
- Bayesian Reasoning in Eternal Inflation: A Solution to the Measure Problem
- No Firewalls or Information Problem for Black Holes Entangled with Large Systems
- No-Bang Quantum State of the Cosmos
- Why did the Universe Start from a Low Entropy State?
- Tuning, Ergodicity, Equilibrium and Cosmology
- Power-law Inflation Satisfies Penrose's Weyl Curvature Hypothesis
- Probabilistic bound on extreme fluctuations in isolated quantum systems
- Feeling de Sitter
- Testing typicality in multiverse cosmology
- Dynamical systems of eternal inflation: A possible solution to the problems of entropy, measure, observables and initial conditions
- Phenomenology of the CAH+ measure
- The Log Log Prior for the Frequency of Extraterrestrial Intelligences
- Life, the Universe, and almost Everything: Signs of Cosmic Design?
- Black holes and up-tunneling suppress Boltzmann brains
- Testing Two-Field Inflation
- Spacetime Average Density (SAD) Cosmological Measures
- Gravity can significantly modify classical and quantum Poincare recurrence theorems
- The universe remembers no wavefunction collapse
- The Xerographic Distribution: Scientific Reasoning in a Large Universe
- The Continuum of Discrete Trajectories in Eternal Inflation
- 3D-Space and the preferred basis cannot uniquely emerge from the quantum structure
- The Noonday Argument: Fine-Graining, Indexicals, and the Nature of Copernican Reasoning
- Is the Quilted Multiverse Consistent with a Thermodynamic Arrow of Time?
- Multiverse rate equation including bubble collisions
- Long-Time Asymptotics of a Bohmian Scalar Quantum Field in de Sitter Space-Time
- A Relativistic Gas of Inflatons as an Initial State for Inflation
- Creating universes with thick walls
- Toy model studies of tuning and typicality with an eye toward cosmology
- The nucleation of false vacuum bubbles with compact geometries
- Cosmic Logic: a Computational Model
- Disentangling Boltzmann brains, the time-asymmetry of memory, and the second law
- Avoiding Boltzmann Brain domination in holographic dark energy models
- Uniformity of Cosmic Microwave Background as a Non-Inflationary Geometrical Effect
- Life, Intelligence and Multiverse
- On the significance of Wigner's Friend in contexts beyond quantum foundations
- Disentangling the Cosmic/Comoving Duality: The Cognitive Stability and Typicality Tests
- Mind before matter: reversing the arrow of fundamentality
- Eternal Inflation with Arrival Terminals