Current validation practice undermines surgical AI development

Abstract

Surgical data science (SDS) is rapidly advancing, yet clinical adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in surgery remains limited, with inadequate validation as an important contributing factor. Existing validation practices often neglect the temporal and hierarchical structure of intraoperative videos, yielding misleading or clinically irrelevant results. We introduce a comprehensive catalogue of validation pitfalls in AI-based surgical video analysis, derived from a multi-stage Delphi process with 92 international experts. Pitfalls span three categories: (1) data, (2) metric selection/configuration, and (3) aggregation and reporting. A systematic review of surgical AI papers reveals that these pitfalls are widespread. Experiments on surgical video datasets show that ignoring temporal and hierarchical data structures can understate uncertainty, obscure critical failure modes, and alter algorithm rankings. To address these shortcomings, we provide consensus-based best practices compiled. Together, this work provides an evidence-based framework for rigorous validation of surgical video analysis algorithms, guiding benchmarking, reporting, regulatory review, and clinical translation.

Under review in Nature BME