Intermediate-Level Crossings of a First-Passage Path
arXiv:1505.01184 · doi:10.1088/1742-5468/2015/06/P06035
Abstract
We investigate some simple and surprising properties of a one-dimensional Brownian trajectory with diffusion coefficient that starts at the origin and reaches either: (i) at time or (ii) for the first time at time . We determine the most likely location of the first-passage trajectory from to and its distribution at any intermediate time . A first-passage path typically starts out by being repelled from its final location when . We also determine the distribution of times when the trajectory first crosses and last crosses an arbitrary intermediate position . The distribution of first-crossing times may be unimodal or bimodal, depending on whether or . The form of the first-crossing probability in the bimodal regime is qualitatively similar to, but more singular than, the well-known arcsine law.
18 pages, 12 figures, IOP format; V2: various minor changes in response to referee comments. For publication in JSTAT
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