42 citations
- ETH ZurichCH9 papers
- Heidelberg UniversityDE2 papers
- University of BernCH2 papers
- Cardiff UniversityGB1 paper
- Columbia UniversityUS1 paper
- Institute for Particle Physics and AstrophysicsCH1 paper
- Perimeter InstituteCA1 paper
- University College DublinIE1 paper
- University of HohenheimDE1 paper
- University of OxfordGB1 paper
- University of TübingenDE1 paper
- University of ZurichCH1 paper
9 papers
Graphical tools for selecting conditional instrumental sets
Leonard Henckel, Martin Buttenschön, Marloes H. Maathuis
We consider the efficient estimation of total causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding using conditional instrumental sets. Specifically, we consider the two-stage…
Assessing replicability with the sceptical p-value: Type-I error control and sample size planning
Charlotte Micheloud, Fadoua Balabdaoui, Leonhard Held
We study a statistical framework for replicability based on a recently proposed quantitative measure of replication success, the sceptical -value. A recalibration is proposed to…
Treatment Effect Estimation with Observational Network Data using Machine Learning
Corinne Emmenegger, Meta-Lina Spohn, Timon Elmer +1
Causal inference methods for treatment effect estimation usually assume independent units. However, this assumption is often questionable because units may interact, resulting in s…
Separating internal and externally-forced contributions to global temperature variability using a Bayesian stochastic energy balance framework
Maybritt Schillinger, Beatrice Ellerhoff, Robert Scheichl +1
Earth's temperature variability can be partitioned into internal and externally-forced components. Yet, underlying mechanisms and their relative contributions remain insufficiently…
Honest calibration assessment for binary outcome predictions
Timo Dimitriadis, Lutz Duembgen, Alexander Henzi +2
Probability predictions from binary regressions or machine learning methods ought to be calibrated: If an event is predicted to occur with probability , it should materialize wi…
Various New Inequalities for Beta Distributions
Alexander Henzi, Lutz Duembgen
This note provides some new inequalities and approximations for beta distributions, including tail inequalities, exponential inequalities of Hoeffding and Bernstein type, Gaussian…