5.1k citations
Counting papers with at most 25 authors, so collaboration author lists do not stand in for the people here.
- ENSAE ParisFR117 papers
- Centre de Recherche en Mathématiques de la DécisionFR81 papers
- Centre for Research in Engineering Surface TechnologyIE78 papers
- Université Paris Dauphine-PSLFR67 papers
- Center for Responsible TravelUS36 papers
- Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles AléatoiresFR35 papers
- Centre National de la Recherche ScientifiqueFR33 papers
- École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'InformationFR25 papers
- Criteo (France)FR18 papers
- École PolytechniqueFR17 papers
- University of WarwickGB16 papers
- Institut de recherche mathématique de RennesFR15 papers
405 papers
Cloud failure and cyber insurance: calibration of stress scenarios and diversification
Olivier Lopez, Daniel Nkameni
The expansion of the cyber insurance market remains exposed to the threat of accumulation events that could simultaneously affect a large number of policyholders. Although few such…
A Wasserstein GAN-based climate scenario generator for risk management and insurance: the case of soil subsidence
Antoine Heranval, Olivier Lopez, Didier Ngatcha +1
According to the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (2025), the average annual cost of natural catastrophes increased from 70--80 billion USD between 1970 and 2000 t…
Importance Sampling Optimization with Laplace Principle
Radu-Alexandru Dragomir, François Portier, Victor Priser
Grid search and random search are widely used techniques for hyperparameter tuning in machine learning, especially when gradient information is unavailable. In these methods, a fin…
Concentration of the bootstrap empirical process, with applications to statistical inference
Guillaume Maillard, Adrien Saumard
Considering a general framework of bootstrap with exchangeable weights, we show some concentration inequalities for the supremum of the bootstrap empirical process. On the one hand…
A Kernel Two-Sample Test Invariant under Group Action with Applications to Functional Data
Madison Giacofci, Anouar Meynaoui, Alex Podgorny
We introduce a kernel-based two-sample test for comparing probability distributions up to group actions. Our construction yields invariant kernels for locally compact -compact g…
An information criterion for detecting periodicities in functional time series
Rinka Sagawa, Yan Liu, Valentin Patilea
We propose an information criterion for determining an unknown number of periodic components in functional time series. Identifying the number of frequencies in large-scale time se…
Asymmetric conformal prediction with penalized kernel sum-of-squares
Louis Allain, Sébastien Da Veiga, S{é}bastien Da Veiga +1
Conformal prediction (CP) is a distribution-free method to construct reliable prediction intervals that has gained significant attention in recent years. Despite its success and va…
Convergence of a class of gradient-free optimisation schemes when the objective function is noisy, irregular, or both
Christophe Andrieu, Nicolas Chopin, Ettore Fincato +1
We investigate the convergence properties of a class of iterative algorithms designed to minimize a potentially non-smooth and noisy objective function, which may be algebraically…
Statistical Inference in Large Multi-way Networks
Lucas Resende, Guillaume Lecué, Lionel Wilner +1
We propose the Polyads estimator, a new method to estimate structural parameters in weighted multi-way networks while controlling for rich, arbitrary structures of fixed effects. T…
Nonparametric intensity estimation of spatial point processes by random forests
Christophe Biscio, Frédéric Lavancier
We propose a random forest estimator for the intensity of spatial point processes, applicable with or without covariates. It retains the well-known advantages of a random forest ap…
Goodness-of-fit testing of the distribution of posterior classification probabilities for validating model-based clustering
Salima El Kolei, Matthieu Marbac
We present the first method for assessing the relevance of a model-based clustering result in a general framework. Standard validation criteria, like the adjusted Rand index, rely…
Multi-Armed Bandits with Minimum Aggregated Revenue Constraints
Ahmed Ben Yahmed, Hafedh El Ferchichi, Marc Abeille +1
We examine a multi-armed bandit problem with contextual information, where the objective is to ensure that each arm receives a minimum aggregated reward across contexts while simul…
Adaptive Algorithms for Infinitely Many-Armed Bandits: A Unified Framework
Emmanuel Pilliat
We consider a bandit problem where the buget is smaller than the number of arms, which may be infinite. In this regime, the usual objective in the literature is to minimize simple…
Public Communication with Externalities
Georgy Lukyanov, Konstantin Shamruk, Tong Su +1
This paper develops a model in which a sender strategically communicates with a group of receivers whose payoffs depend on the sender's information. It is shown that aggregate payo…
Extrapolation of Tempered Posteriors
Mengxin Xi, Zheyang Shen, Marina Riabiz +2
Tempering is a popular tool in Bayesian computation, being used to transform a posterior distribution into a reference distribution that is more easily approximated. Se…
On the pointwise and sup-norm errors for local regression estimators
Jérémy Bettinger, François Portier, Adrien Saumard
In this paper, we analyze the behavior of various non-parametric local regression estimators, i.e. estimators that are based on local averaging, for estimating a Lipschitz regressi…
Online matching on stochastic block model
Maria Cherifa, Clément Calauzènes, Vianney Perchet
While online bipartite matching has gained significant attention in recent years, existing analyses in stochastic settings fail to capture the performance of algorithms on heteroge…
Distributional encoding for Gaussian process regression with qualitative inputs
Sébastien Da Veiga
Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a popular and sample-efficient approach for many engineering applications, where observations are expensive to acquire, and is also a central in…
On the Wasserstein Geodesic Principal Component Analysis of probability measures
Nina Vesseron, Elsa Cazelles, Alice Le Brigant +1
This paper focuses on Geodesic Principal Component Analysis (GPCA) on a collection of probability distributions using the Otto-Wasserstein geometry. The goal is to identify geodesi…
Optimal inference for the mean of random functions
Omar Kassi, Valentin Patilea
We study estimation and inference for the mean of real-valued random functions defined on a hypercube. The independent random functions are observed on a discrete, random subset of…
Physical Climate Risk in Asset Management
Michele Azzone, Matteo Ghesini, Davide Stocco +1
Climate-related phenomena are increasingly affecting regions worldwide, manifesting as floods, water scarcity, and heat waves, significantly impairing companies' assets and product…
Multivariate Self-Exciting Processes with Dependencies
Caroline Hillairet, Thomas Peyrat, Anthony Réveillac
This paper introduces the class of multidimensional self-exciting processes with dependencies (MSPD), which is a unifying writing for a large class of processes: counting, loss, in…
Low-Rank Graphon Estimation: Theory and Applications to Graphon Games
Olga Klopp, Fedor Noskov
We study low-rank estimation of an unknown sparse graphon from sampled network data under operator-norm loss, motivated by targeted interventions in graphon games. Starting from th…
Pareto-Optimality, Smoothness, and Stochasticity in Learning-Augmented One-Max-Search
Ziyad Benomar, Lorenzo Croissant, Vianney Perchet +1
One-max search is a classic problem in online decision-making, in which a trader acts on a sequence of revealed prices and accepts one of them irrevocably to maximise its profit. T…