output
20132025
most citedPhysically Interpretable Neural Networks for the Geosciences: Applications to Earth System Variability

324 citations

15 papers

physics.ao-ph2025

Using machine learning to downscale coarse-resolution environmental variables for understanding the spatial frequency of convective storms

Hungjui Yu, Lander Ver Hoef, Kristen L. Rasmussen +1

Global climate models (GCMs), typically run at ~100-km resolution, capture large-scale environmental conditions but cannot resolve convection and cloud processes at kilometer scale…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 2 cited

HRRRCast: a data-driven emulator for regional weather forecasting at convection allowing scales

Daniel Abdi, Isidora Jankov, Paul Madden +5

The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model is a convection-allowing model used in operational weather forecasting across the contiguous United States (CONUS). To provide a comp…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

Predicting Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Errors using a Probabilistic Neural Network

M. A. Fernandez, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Randal J. Barnes +4

A new method for estimating tropical cyclone track uncertainty is presented and tested. This method uses a neural network to predict a bivariate normal distribution, which serves a…

stat.AP2025

WOMBAT v2.S: A Bayesian inversion framework for attributing global CO flux components from multiprocess data

Josh Jacobson, Michael Bertolacci, Andrew Zammit-Mangion +2

Contributions from photosynthesis and other natural components of the carbon cycle present the largest uncertainties in our understanding of carbon dioxide (CO) sources and sin…

cs.LG2023★ 2 cited

Machine Learning Estimation of Maximum Vertical Velocity from Radar

Randy J. Chase, Amy McGovern, Cameron Homeyer +2

The quantification of storm updrafts remains unavailable for operational forecasting despite their inherent importance to convection and its associated severe weather hazards. Updr…

cs.LG2023★ 26 cited

Evidential Deep Learning: Enhancing Predictive Uncertainty Estimation for Earth System Science Applications

John S. Schreck, David John Gagne, Charlie Becker +13

Robust quantification of predictive uncertainty is critical for understanding factors that drive weather and climate outcomes. Ensembles provide predictive uncertainty estimates an…

cs.LG2022★ 17 cited

A Primer on Topological Data Analysis to Support Image Analysis Tasks in Environmental Science

Lander Ver Hoef, Henry Adams, Emily J. King +1

Topological data analysis (TDA) is a tool from data science and mathematics that is beginning to make waves in environmental science. In this work, we seek to provide an intuitive…

cs.LG2022★ 9 cited

Can we integrate spatial verification methods into neural-network loss functions for atmospheric science?

Ryan Lagerquist, Imme Ebert-Uphoff

In the last decade, much work in atmospheric science has focused on spatial verification (SV) methods for gridded prediction, which overcome serious disadvantages of pixelwise veri…

physics.geo-ph2022★ 87 cited

Investigating the fidelity of explainable artificial intelligence methods for applications of convolutional neural networks in geoscience

Antonios Mamalakis, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Imme Ebert-Uphoff

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have recently attracted great attention in geoscience due to their ability to capture non-linear system behavior and extract predictive spatiot…

cs.CY2021★ 112 cited

The Need for Ethical, Responsible, and Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Sciences

Amy McGovern, Imme Ebert-Uphoff, David John Gagne +1

Given the growing use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) methods across all aspects of environmental sciences, it is imperative that we initiate a discussion…

physics.geo-ph2021★ 105 cited

Neural Network Attribution Methods for Problems in Geoscience: A Novel Synthetic Benchmark Dataset

Antonios Mamalakis, Imme Ebert-Uphoff, Elizabeth A. Barnes

Despite the increasingly successful application of neural networks to many problems in the geosciences, their complex and nonlinear structure makes the interpretation of their pred…

physics.ao-ph2020★ 71 cited

Indicator patterns of forced change learned by an artificial neural network

Elizabeth A. Barnes, Benjamin Toms, James W. Hurrell +3

Many problems in climate science require the identification of signals obscured by both the "noise" of internal climate variability and differences across models. Following previou…

physics.ao-ph2019★ 324 cited

Physically Interpretable Neural Networks for the Geosciences: Applications to Earth System Variability

Benjamin A. Toms, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Imme Ebert-Uphoff

Neural networks have become increasingly prevalent within the geosciences, although a common limitation of their usage has been a lack of methods to interpret what the networks lea…

physics.flu-dyn2017★ 47 cited

Dual constant-flux energy cascades to both large scales and small scales

Annick Pouquet, Raffaele Marino, Pablo D. Mininni +1

In this paper, we present an overview of concepts and data concerning inverse cascades of excitation towards scales larger than the forcing scale in a variety of contexts, from two…

physics.data-an2013★ 21 cited

Variational Data Assimilation via Sparse Regularization

A. M. Ebtehaj, M. Zupanski, G. Lerman +1

This paper studies the role of sparse regularization in a properly chosen basis for variational data assimilation (VDA) problems. Specifically, it focuses on data assimilation of n…