60 citations · 163 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for
9 papers
EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England
Christopher E. Overton, Lorenzo Pellis, Helena B. Stage +9
The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic put considerable strain on the national healthcare system in England. In order to predict the effect of the local epidemic on hospital capac…
Shut and re-open: the role of schools in the spread of COVID-19 in Europe
Helena B. Stage, Joseph Shingleton, Sanmitra Ghosh +3
We investigate the effect of school closure and subsequent reopening on the transmission of COVID-19, by considering Denmark, Norway, Sweden, and German states as case studies. By…
Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an example
Christopher E. Overton, Helena B. Stage, Shazaad Ahmad +16
During an infectious disease outbreak, biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and desig…
Challenges in control of Covid-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions
Lorenzo Pellis, Francesca Scarabel, Helena B. Stage +14
Early assessments of the spreading rate of COVID-19 were subject to significant uncertainty, as expected with limited data and difficulties in case ascertainment, but more reliable…
Anomalous cumulative inertia in human behaviour
H. Stage, S. Fedotov
Human behaviour is dictated by past experiences via cumulative inertia (CI): the longer a certain behaviour has been going on, the less likely changes becomes. This is a well-known…
Subdiffusive Transport in Heterogeneous Patchy Environments
Sergei Fedotov, Helena Stage
Transport across heterogeneous, patchy environments is a ubiquitous phenomenon spanning fields of study including ecological movement, intracellular transport and regions of specia…