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stat.AP2016
Bayesian Projection of Life Expectancy Accounting for the HIV/AIDS Epidemic
Jessica Godwin, Adrian E. Raftery
While probabilistic projection methods for projecting life expectancy exist, few account for covariates related to life expectancy. Generalized HIV/AIDS epidemics have a large, imm…
stat.AP2016
Probabilistic Population Projections for Countries with Generalized HIV/AIDS Epidemics
David J. Sharrow, Jessica Godwin, Yanjun He +2
The United Nations (UN) issued official probabilistic population projections for all countries to 2100 in July 2015. This was done by simulating future levels of total fertility an…