4 papers
Estimating Under Five Mortality in Space and Time in a Developing World Context
Jon Wakefield, Geir-Arne Fuglstad, Andrea Riebler +3
Accurate estimates of the under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) in a developing world context are a key barometer of the health of a nation. This paper describes new models to analyze surv…
Bayesian Projection of Life Expectancy Accounting for the HIV/AIDS Epidemic
Jessica Godwin, Adrian E. Raftery
While probabilistic projection methods for projecting life expectancy exist, few account for covariates related to life expectancy. Generalized HIV/AIDS epidemics have a large, imm…
Probabilistic Population Projections for Countries with Generalized HIV/AIDS Epidemics
David J. Sharrow, Jessica Godwin, Yanjun He +2
The United Nations (UN) issued official probabilistic population projections for all countries to 2100 in July 2015. This was done by simulating future levels of total fertility an…
Spatial Modeling, with Application to Complex Survey Data: Discussion of "Model-based Geostatistics for Prevalence Mapping in Low-Resource Settings", by Diggle and Giorgi
Jon Wakefield, Daniel Simpson, Jessica Godwin
Prevalence mapping in low resource settings is an increasingly important endeavor to guide policy making and to spatially and temporally characterize the burden of disease. We will…