19 citations · 99 across the 20 of their papers we have counts for
14 papers · 1 filter
Gusev's stochastic model for the seismic source: high-frequency behavior in the far zone
G. M. Molchan
This paper discusses local features in the source function that generate in the far zone simultaneously (a) a quadratic decay of the source spectrum and (b) the loss of radiation d…
Fractal seismicity and seismic risk
G. M. Molchan
Recently, attempts have been made to take into account the fractal properties of seismicity when mapping the long-term rate of earthquakes. The paper touches upon the theoretical a…
Comment on "Assessing CN earthquake predictions in Italy" by M. Taroni, W. Marzocchi, P. Roselli
G. Molchan, A. Peresan, G. F. Panza +2
The paper by Taroni et al. (2016) considers results of forward prediction of Italian strong earthquakes by CN algorithm with the declared intent of providing "a careful assessment…
A note on the ranking of earthquake forecasts
G. Molchan
The ranking problem of earthquake forecasts is considered. We formulate simple statistical requirements to forecasting quality measure R and analyze some R-ranking methods on this…
Stochastic earthquake source model: the omega-square hypothesis and the directivity effect
G. Molchan
Recently A. Gusev suggested and numerically investigated the doubly stochastic earthquake source model. The model is supposed to demonstrate the following features in the far-field…
Forecasting ability of a multi-renewal seismicity model for Italy
G. Molchan, L. Romashkova
The inter-event time, IET, is sometimes used as a basis for prediction of large earthquakes. It is the case when theoretical analysis of prediction is possible. Quite recently a sp…