A note on the ranking of earthquake forecasts

Abstract

The ranking problem of earthquake forecasts is considered. We formulate simple statistical requirements to forecasting quality measure R and analyze some R-ranking methods on this basis, in particular, the pari-mutuel gambling method by Zechar&Zhuang (2014).

9 pages

References in corpus (2)

• Residual analysis methods for space--time point processes with applications to earthquake forecast models in California
• Gambling scores in earthquake prediction analysis

Cited by in corpus (1)

• Comment on "Assessing CN earthquake predictions in Italy" by M. Taroni, W. Marzocchi, P. Roselli