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cs.AI2026
The Dynamics of Intelligence Explosions
Toby Ord
AI is increasingly being used to help with AI R&D. Under certain conditions this feedback loop might be able to produce an intelligence explosion, with rapidly escalating AI capabi…
cs.AI2025
Is there a half-life for the success rates of AI agents?
Toby Ord
Building on the recent empirical work of Kwa et al. (2025), I show that within their suite of research-engineering tasks the performance of AI agents on longer-duration tasks can b…