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stat.AP2026
Bayesian inference for hidden Markov models under genuine multimodality with application to ecological time series
Marco A. Gallegos-Herrada, Vianey Leos-Barajas, Jeffrey S. Rosenthal
Bayesian inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs) can be challenging due to the presence of multimodality in the likelihood function, and consequently in the joint posterior distri…
stat.AP2018
The Hot Hand in Professional Darts
Marius Ötting, Roland Langrock, Christian Deutscher +1
We investigate the hot hand hypothesis in professional darts in a near-ideal setting with minimal to no interaction between players. Considering almost one year of tournament data,…