activity
20162026
most citedThe Hot Hand in Professional Darts

38 citations · 68 across the 11 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

12 papers

stat.ML2026

Joint Neural Posterior Estimation and Model Selection for Chemical Reaction Networks

J. Arturo Esquivel, Jorge A. Campos-Gonzalez-Angulo, Sergio Pablo-García +2

Simulation-based Bayesian inference for Chemical Reaction Networks (CRNs) must simultaneously solve two computationally demanding problems: discriminating between overlapping react…

stat.ML2026

Scalable Bayesian Additive Models for Stellar Flare Detection via Amortized Gaussian Process Inference and Hidden Markov Models

Rodrigo Herrera, Vianey Leos-Barajas, Gwendolyn Eadie +2

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for Bayesian time-series modeling, yet their cubic computational cost remains a severe barrier for application to long, high-cadence da…

stat.AP2026

Bayesian inference for hidden Markov models under genuine multimodality with application to ecological time series

Marco A. Gallegos-Herrada, Vianey Leos-Barajas, Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Bayesian inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs) can be challenging due to the presence of multimodality in the likelihood function, and consequently in the joint posterior distri…

astro-ph.SR2024★ 3 cited

Detecting stellar flares in photometric data using hidden Markov models

J. Arturo Esquivel, Yunyi Shen, Vianey Leos-Barajas +5

We present a hidden Markov model (HMM) for discovering stellar flares in light curve data of stars. HMMs provide a framework to model time series data that are not stationary; they…

stat.ME2022★ 5 cited

Copula Modelling of Serially Correlated Multivariate Data with Hidden Structures

Robert Zimmerman, Radu V. Craiu, Vianey Leos-Barajas

We propose a copula-based extension of the hidden Markov model (HMM) which applies when the observations recorded at each time in the sample are multivariate. The joint model produ…

stat.AP2021★ 2 cited

Hidden Markov and semi-Markov models: When and why are these models useful for classifying states in time series data?

Sofia Ruiz-Suarez, Vianey Leos-Barajas, Juan Manuel Morales

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and their extensions have proven to be powerful tools for classification of observations that stem from systems with temporal dependence as they take in…

stat.CO2020★ 2 cited

The Discrete Adjoint Method: Efficient Derivatives for Functions of Discrete Sequences

Michael Betancourt, Charles C. Margossian, Vianey Leos-Barajas

Gradient-based techniques are becoming increasingly critical in quantitative fields, notably in statistics and computer science. The utility of these techniques, however, ultimatel…

stat.ME2019

Approximate Bayesian inference for a "steps and turns" continuous-time random walk observed at regular time intervals

Sofia Ruiz-Suarez, Vianey Leos-Barajas, Ignacio Alvarez-Castro +1

The study of animal movement is challenging because it is a process modulated by many factors acting at different spatial and temporal scales. Several models have been proposed whi…

q-bio.QM2018★ 18 cited

An Introduction to Animal Movement Modeling with Hidden Markov Models using Stan for Bayesian Inference

Vianey Leos-Barajas, Théo Michelot

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are popular time series model in many fields including ecology, economics and genetics. HMMs can be defined over discrete or continuous time, though her…

stat.AP2018★ 38 cited

The Hot Hand in Professional Darts

Marius Ötting, Roland Langrock, Christian Deutscher +1

We investigate the hot hand hypothesis in professional darts in a near-ideal setting with minimal to no interaction between players. Considering almost one year of tournament data,…

stat.ME2017

Multi-scale modeling of animal movement and general behavior data using hidden Markov models with hierarchical structures

Vianey Leos-Barajas, Eric Gangloff, Timo Adam +4

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used to model animal movement data and infer aspects of animal behavior. An HMM assumes that each data point from a time series of observat…

q-bio.QM2016

Analysis of animal accelerometer data using hidden Markov models

Vianey Leos-Barajas, Theoni Photopoulou, Roland Langrock +4

Use of accelerometers is now widespread within animal biotelemetry as they provide a means of measuring an animal's activity in a meaningful and quantitative way where direct obser…