activity
20132025
most citedEscape and absorption probabilities for obliquely reflected Brownian motion in a quadrant

9 citations · 24 across the 24 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing math.PRShow all

22 papers · 1 filter

math.PR2025

Asymptotics of Yule's nonsense correlation for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck paths: The correlated case

Soukaina Douissi, Philip Ernst, Frederi Viens

We study the continuous-time version of the empirical correlation coefficient between the paths of two possibly correlated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, known as Yule's nonsense co…

math.PR2024

Exact expressions for the maximal probability that all -wise independent bits are 1

Daniel Berend, Philip A. Ernst, Aryeh Kontorovich +1

Let denote the maximum probability of the event under a -wise independent distribution whose marginals are Bernoulli random variables w…

math.PR2024

The Gapeev-Shiryaev Conjecture

Philip A. Ernst, Goran Peskir

The Gapeev-Shiryaev conjecture (originating in Gapeev and Shiryaev (2011) and Gapeev and Shiryaev (2013)) can be broadly stated as follows: Monotonicity of the signal-to-noise rati…

math.PR2024

Asymptotic optimality of dynamic first-fit packing on the half-axis

Philip A. Ernst, Alexander L. Stolyar, Jixin Wang

We revisit a classical problem in dynamic storage allocation. Items arrive in a linear storage medium, modeled as a half-axis, at a Poisson rate and depart after an independent…

math.PR2023

Quickest Real-Time Detection of Multiple Brownian Drifts

Philip A. Ernst, Hongwei Mei, Goran Peskir

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservab…

math.PR2021

Exact optimal stopping for multidimensional linear switching diffusions

Philip Ernst, Hongwei Mei

The paper studies a class of multidimensional optimal stopping problems with infinite horizon for linear switching diffusions. There are two main novelties in the optimal problems…

math.PR2021

On the diameter of the stopped spider process

Ewelina Bednarz, Philip A. Ernst, Adam Osekowski

We consider the Brownian ``spider process'', also known as Walsh Brownian motion, first introduced in the epilogue of Walsh 1978. The paper provides the best constant for the…

math.PR2021

The least favorable noise

Philip A. Ernst, Abram M. Kagan, L. C. G. Rogers

Suppose that a random variable of interest is observed perturbed by independent additive noise . This paper concerns the "the least favorable perturbation" $\hat Y_\ep$, whi…

math.PR2021

Yule's "nonsense correlation" for Gaussian random walks

Philip A. Ernst, Dongzhou Huang, Frederi G. Viens

The purpose of this paper is to provide an exact formula for the second moment of the empirical correlation of two independent Gaussian random walks as well as implicit formulas fo…

math.PR2021★ 9 cited

Escape and absorption probabilities for obliquely reflected Brownian motion in a quadrant

Philip Ernst, Sandro Franceschi, Dongzhou Huang

We consider an obliquely reflected Brownian motion with positive drift in a quadrant stopped at time , where is the first hitting time of th…

math.PR2020

Quickest Real-Time Detection of a Brownian Coordinate Drift

Philip A. Ernst, Goran Peskir

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in two or more dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/un…

math.PR2020★ 8 cited

Asymptotic behavior of the occupancy density for obliquely reflected Brownian motion in a half-plane and Martin boundary

Philip Ernst, Sandro Franceschi

Let be the occupancy density of an obliquely reflected Brownian motion in the half plane and let (, ) be the polar coordinates of a point in the upper half plane. This wo…

math.PR2020

The rencontre problem

F. Thomas Bruss, Philip A. Ernst, Dongzhou Huang

Let be independent sequences of Bernoulli random v…

math.PR2018

Optimal real-time detection of a drifting Brownian coordinate

Philip Ernst, Goran Peskir, Quan Zhou

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in three dimensions, whose two spatial coordinates are standard Brownian motions with zero drift, and the remaining (unknown) spatial coo…

math.PR2017

MEXIT: Maximal un-coupling times for stochastic processes

P. A. Ernst, W. S. Kendall, G. O. Roberts +1

Classical coupling constructions arrange for copies of the \emph{same} Markov process started at two \emph{different} initial states to become equal as soon as possible. In this pa…

math.PR2016

Stability and busy periods in a multiclass queue with state-dependent arrival rates

Philip Ernst, Søren Asmussen, John Hasenbein

We introduce a multiclass single-server queueing system in which the arrival rates depend on the current job in service. The system is characterized by a matrix of arrival rates in…

math.PR2016

Asymptotics for the Time of Ruin in the War of Attrition

Philip Ernst, Ilie Grigorescu

We consider two players, starting with and units, respectively. In each round, the winner is decided with probability proportional to each player's fortune, and the opponen…

math.PR2016

Exercising Control When Confronted by a (Brownian) Spider

Philip Ernst

We consider the Brownian "spider," a construct introduced in \cite{Dubins} and in \cite{Pitman}. In this note, the author proves the "spider" bounds by using the dynamic programmin…

math.PR2016

On occupation times of the first and third quadrants for planar Brownian motion

Philip Ernst, Larry Shepp

An open problem of interest, first infused into the applied probability community in the work of Bingham and Doney in 1988, (see \cite{Bingham}) is stated as follows: find the dist…

math.PR2016

The value of foresight

Philip Ernst, L. C. G. Rogers, Quan Zhou

Suppose you have one unit of stock, currently worth 1, which you must sell before time . The Optional Sampling Theorem tells us that whatever stopping time we choose to sell, th…

math.PR2014

The General Stationary Gaussian Markov Process

Larry Brown, Philip Ernst, Larry Shepp +1

We find the class, , of all zero mean stationary Gaussian processes, with derivatives, for which \begin{equation} Z(t) \equiv (Y^{(0…

math.PR2013

On the Time for Brownian Motion to Visit Every Point on a Circle

Philip Ernst, Larry Shepp

Consider a Wiener process on a circle of circumference . We prove the rather surprising result that the Laplace transform of the distribution of the first time, , when…