activity
20132025
most citedEscape and absorption probabilities for obliquely reflected Brownian motion in a quadrant

9 citations · 24 across the 24 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

36 papers

math.ST2025

Tests of independence for pairs of paths of non-stationary Gaussian processes

Philip A. Ernst, Frederi G. Viens, Shuo Yan

In the current work, we provide theoretical results for testing (in)dependence between pairs of paths of most commonly studied non-stationary Gaussian processes - standard Brownian…

q-fin.MF2025

The value of partial information

Philip A. Ernst, Oleksii Mostovyi

We investigate a pricing rule that is applicable for streams of income or contingent claim liabilities and study how this rule changes under additional insider-type information tha…

math.PR2025

Asymptotics of Yule's nonsense correlation for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck paths: The correlated case

Soukaina Douissi, Philip Ernst, Frederi Viens

We study the continuous-time version of the empirical correlation coefficient between the paths of two possibly correlated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, known as Yule's nonsense co…

math.PR2024

Exact expressions for the maximal probability that all -wise independent bits are 1

Daniel Berend, Philip A. Ernst, Aryeh Kontorovich +1

Let denote the maximum probability of the event under a -wise independent distribution whose marginals are Bernoulli random variables w…

math.PR2024

The Gapeev-Shiryaev Conjecture

Philip A. Ernst, Goran Peskir

The Gapeev-Shiryaev conjecture (originating in Gapeev and Shiryaev (2011) and Gapeev and Shiryaev (2013)) can be broadly stated as follows: Monotonicity of the signal-to-noise rati…

math.PR2024

Asymptotic optimality of dynamic first-fit packing on the half-axis

Philip A. Ernst, Alexander L. Stolyar, Jixin Wang

We revisit a classical problem in dynamic storage allocation. Items arrive in a linear storage medium, modeled as a half-axis, at a Poisson rate and depart after an independent…

math.OC2023

The Minimax Wiener Sequential Testing Problem

Philip Ernst, Hongwei Mei

Consider the sample path of a one-dimensional diffusion for which the diffusion coefficient is given and where the drift may take on one of two values: or . Suppose that…

math.ST2023

Exact and asymptotic distribution theory for the empirical correlation of two AR(1) processes with Gaussian increments

Philip A. Ernst, Dongzhou Huang

This paper begins with a study of the exact distribution of the empirical correlation of two independent AR(1) processes with Gaussian increments. We proceed to develop rates of co…

math.PR2023

Quickest Real-Time Detection of Multiple Brownian Drifts

Philip A. Ernst, Hongwei Mei, Goran Peskir

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservab…

math.PR2021

Exact optimal stopping for multidimensional linear switching diffusions

Philip Ernst, Hongwei Mei

The paper studies a class of multidimensional optimal stopping problems with infinite horizon for linear switching diffusions. There are two main novelties in the optimal problems…

math.PR2021

On the diameter of the stopped spider process

Ewelina Bednarz, Philip A. Ernst, Adam Osekowski

We consider the Brownian ``spider process'', also known as Walsh Brownian motion, first introduced in the epilogue of Walsh 1978. The paper provides the best constant for the…

math.PR2021

The least favorable noise

Philip A. Ernst, Abram M. Kagan, L. C. G. Rogers

Suppose that a random variable of interest is observed perturbed by independent additive noise . This paper concerns the "the least favorable perturbation" $\hat Y_\ep$, whi…

math.PR2021

Yule's "nonsense correlation" for Gaussian random walks

Philip A. Ernst, Dongzhou Huang, Frederi G. Viens

The purpose of this paper is to provide an exact formula for the second moment of the empirical correlation of two independent Gaussian random walks as well as implicit formulas fo…

math.PR2021★ 9 cited

Escape and absorption probabilities for obliquely reflected Brownian motion in a quadrant

Philip Ernst, Sandro Franceschi, Dongzhou Huang

We consider an obliquely reflected Brownian motion with positive drift in a quadrant stopped at time , where is the first hitting time of th…

math.PR2020

Quickest Real-Time Detection of a Brownian Coordinate Drift

Philip A. Ernst, Goran Peskir

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in two or more dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/un…

math.PR2020★ 8 cited

Asymptotic behavior of the occupancy density for obliquely reflected Brownian motion in a half-plane and Martin boundary

Philip Ernst, Sandro Franceschi

Let be the occupancy density of an obliquely reflected Brownian motion in the half plane and let (, ) be the polar coordinates of a point in the upper half plane. This wo…

math.PR2020

The rencontre problem

F. Thomas Bruss, Philip A. Ernst, Dongzhou Huang

Let be independent sequences of Bernoulli random v…

math.ST2019★ 2 cited

Yule's "nonsense correlation" solved: Part II

Philip A. Ernst, L. C. G. Rogers, Quan Zhou

In 1926, G. Udny Yule considered the following: given a sequence of pairs of random variables (), and letting and where $S…

math.PR2018

Optimal real-time detection of a drifting Brownian coordinate

Philip Ernst, Goran Peskir, Quan Zhou

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in three dimensions, whose two spatial coordinates are standard Brownian motions with zero drift, and the remaining (unknown) spatial coo…

math.OC2018

When is it best to follow the leader?

Philip Ernst, L. C. G. Rogers, Quan Zhou

An object is hidden in one of boxes. Initially, the probability that it is in box is . You then search in continuous time, observing box at time , and rece…

q-bio.PE2018★ 1 cited

Thick distribution tails in models of cancer secondary tumors

Philip A. Ernst, Marek Kimmel, Monika Kurpas +1

Recent progress in microdissection and in DNA sequencing has enabled subsampling of multi-focal cancers in organs such as the liver in several hundred spots, helping to determine t…

stat.AP2017★ 2 cited

Sequential rerandomization

Quan Zhou, Philip Ernst, Kari Lock Morgan +2

The seminal work of Morgan and Rubin (2012) considers rerandomization for all the units at one time. In practice, however, experimenters may have to rerandomize units sequentially.…

math.PR2017

MEXIT: Maximal un-coupling times for stochastic processes

P. A. Ernst, W. S. Kendall, G. O. Roberts +1

Classical coupling constructions arrange for copies of the \emph{same} Markov process started at two \emph{different} initial states to become equal as soon as possible. In this pa…

math.PR2016

Stability and busy periods in a multiclass queue with state-dependent arrival rates

Philip Ernst, Søren Asmussen, John Hasenbein

We introduce a multiclass single-server queueing system in which the arrival rates depend on the current job in service. The system is characterized by a matrix of arrival rates in…