34 citations · 129 across the 45 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
Joint-task truthfulness of the DMI mechanism
Rafael Frongillo
The Determinant Mutual Information (DMI) mechanism of Kong (2020, 2024) is dominantly truthful within the class of *consistent* reporting strategies, those that apply the same sing…
Toward Simultaneously Optimal Regret in U-Calibration
Rafael Frongillo, Haipeng Luo, Nishant A. Mehta +1
U-calibration studies online forecasting algorithms whose predictions can be consumed by any unknown downstream agent, guaranteeing sublinear regret simultaneously for all proper l…
Adaptive Liquidity in Prediction Markets via Online Learning
Enrique Nueve, Bao Nguyen, Rafael Frongillo +1
Prediction markets rely on liquidity to convert trades into informative prices, yet existing mechanisms fix liquidity ex ante. This restriction enforces a static trade-off between…
Equilibria in Large Position-Optimization Games
Rafael Frongillo, Melody Hsu, Mary Monroe +1
We propose a general class of symmetric games called position-optimization games. Given a probability distribution over a set of targets , the players each cho…