34 citations · 129 across the 45 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
Minimax Duality in Game-Theoretic Probability
Rafael Frongillo
Game-theoretic probability uses the structure of gambles to define a concept like probability, but which is more flexible and robust. We show that results in game-theoretic probabi…
Robust forecast aggregation via additional queries
Rafael Frongillo, Mary Monroe, Eric Neyman +1
We study the problem of robust forecast aggregation: combining expert forecasts with provable accuracy guarantees compared to the best possible aggregation of the underlying inform…
Consistency Conditions for Differentiable Surrogate Losses
Drona Khurana, Anish Thilagar, Dhamma Kimpara +1
The statistical consistency of surrogate losses for discrete prediction tasks is often checked via the condition of calibration. However, directly verifying calibration can be ardu…
Structured Prediction with Abstention via the Lovász Hinge
Jessie Finocchiaro, Rafael Frongillo, Enrique Nueve
The Lovász hinge is a convex loss function proposed for binary structured classification, in which k related binary predictions jointly evaluated by a submodular function. Despite…
Peer Prediction with More Signals than Reports
Rafael Frongillo, Ian Kash, Mary Monroe
Peer prediction mechanisms are typically proposed and analyzed under the assumption that the report and signal spaces are identical. In practice, however, agents often observe rich…