3 papers
stat.ME2022
Bayesian estimation of in-game home team win probability for college basketball
Jason Maddox, Ryan Sides, Jane Harvill
Two new Bayesian methods for estimating and predicting in-game home team win probabilities are proposed. The first method has a prior that adjusts as a function of lead differentia…
stat.AP2015
A semiparametric spatio-temporal model for solar irradiance data
Joshua Patrick, Jane Harvill, Clifford Hansen
Design and operation of a utility scale photovoltaic (PV) power plant depends on accurate modeling of the power generated, which is highly correlated with aggregate solar irradianc…
stat.ME2015
Spline-backfitted kernel forecasting for functional-coefficient autoregressive models
Joshua Patrick, Jane Harvill, Justin Sims
We propose three methods for forecasting a time series modeled using a functional coefficient autoregressive model (FCAR) fit via spline-backfitted local linear (SBLL) smoothing. T…