3 papers
stat.AP2025
Bayesian Statistical Modeling in Action for Estimation and Forecasting in Low- and Middle-income Countries: The Case of the Family Planning Estimation Tool
Leontine Alkema, Herbert Susmann, Evan Ray +12
The Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET) is used in low- and middle-income countries to produce estimates and short-term forecasts of family planning indicators, such as modern c…
stat.ME2025
Flexible Modeling of Demographic Transition Processes with a Bayesian Hierarchical B-splines Model
Herbert Susmann, Leontine Alkema
Several demographic and health indicators, including the total fertility rate (TFR) and modern contraceptive use rate (mCPR), evolve similarly over time, characterized by a transit…
stat.ME2024
Temporal Models for Demographic and Global Health Outcomes in Multiple Populations: Introducing the Normal-with-Optional-Shrinkage Data Model Class
Leontine Alkema, Herbert Susmann, Evan Ray
Statistical models are used to produce estimates of demographic and global health indicators in populations with limited data. Such models integrate multiple data sources to produc…