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20132025
most citedCan You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift

924 citations · 5.3k across the 63 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2019Show all

7 papers · 1 filter

stat.ML2019★ 571 cited

AugMix: A Simple Data Processing Method to Improve Robustness and Uncertainty

Dan Hendrycks, Norman Mu, Ekin D. Cubuk +3

Modern deep neural networks can achieve high accuracy when the training distribution and test distribution are identically distributed, but this assumption is frequently violated i…

stat.ML2019★ 345 cited

Normalizing Flows for Probabilistic Modeling and Inference

George Papamakarios, Eric Nalisnick, Danilo Jimenez Rezende +2

Normalizing flows provide a general mechanism for defining expressive probability distributions, only requiring the specification of a (usually simple) base distribution and a seri…

stat.ML2019★ 349 cited

Deep Ensembles: A Loss Landscape Perspective

Stanislav Fort, Huiyi Hu, Balaji Lakshminarayanan

Deep ensembles have been empirically shown to be a promising approach for improving accuracy, uncertainty and out-of-distribution robustness of deep learning models. While deep ens…

stat.ML2019★ 53 cited

Detecting Out-of-Distribution Inputs to Deep Generative Models Using Typicality

Eric Nalisnick, Akihiro Matsukawa, Yee Whye Teh +1

Recent work has shown that deep generative models can assign higher likelihood to out-of-distribution data sets than to their training data (Nalisnick et al., 2019; Choi et al., 20…

stat.ML2019★ 8 cited

Likelihood Ratios for Out-of-Distribution Detection

Jie Ren, Peter J. Liu, Emily Fertig +5

Discriminative neural networks offer little or no performance guarantees when deployed on data not generated by the same process as the training distribution. On such out-of-distri…

stat.ML2019★ 924 cited

Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift

Yaniv Ovadia, Emily Fertig, Jie Ren +6

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful…

cs.LG2019★ 34 cited

Hybrid Models with Deep and Invertible Features

Eric Nalisnick, Akihiro Matsukawa, Yee Whye Teh +2

We propose a neural hybrid model consisting of a linear model defined on a set of features computed by a deep, invertible transformation (i.e. a normalizing flow). An attractive pr…