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20132025
most citedCan You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift

924 citations · 5.3k across the 63 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2015Show all

5 papers · 1 filter

cs.LG2015★ 7 cited

Distributed Bayesian Learning with Stochastic Natural-gradient Expectation Propagation and the Posterior Server

Leonard Hasenclever, Stefan Webb, Thibaut Lienart +4

This paper makes two contributions to Bayesian machine learning algorithms. Firstly, we propose stochastic natural gradient expectation propagation (SNEP), a novel alternative to e…

stat.ML2015

Approximate Inference with the Variational Holder Bound

Guillaume Bouchard, Balaji Lakshminarayanan

We introduce the Variational Holder (VH) bound as an alternative to Variational Bayes (VB) for approximate Bayesian inference. Unlike VB which typically involves maximization of a…

stat.ML2015★ 14 cited

Mondrian Forests for Large-Scale Regression when Uncertainty Matters

Balaji Lakshminarayanan, Daniel M. Roy, Yee Whye Teh

Many real-world regression problems demand a measure of the uncertainty associated with each prediction. Standard decision forests deliver efficient state-of-the-art predictive per…

stat.ML2015★ 11 cited

Kernel-Based Just-In-Time Learning for Passing Expectation Propagation Messages

Wittawat Jitkrittum, Arthur Gretton, Nicolas Heess +4

We propose an efficient nonparametric strategy for learning a message operator in expectation propagation (EP), which takes as input the set of incoming messages to a factor node,…

stat.ML2015★ 7 cited

Particle Gibbs for Bayesian Additive Regression Trees

Balaji Lakshminarayanan, Daniel M. Roy, Yee Whye Teh

Additive regression trees are flexible non-parametric models and popular off-the-shelf tools for real-world non-linear regression. In application domains, such as bioinformatics, w…