823 citations · 1.9k across the 13 of their papers we have counts for
13 papers
A flood damage allowance framework for coastal protection with deep uncertainty in sea-level rise
D. J. Rasmussen, Maya K. Buchanan, Robert E. Kopp +1
Future projections of Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) mass loss remain characterized by deep uncertainty (i.e., behavior is not well understood or widely agreed upon by experts). This co…
Statistical modeling of rates and trends in Holocene relative sea level
Erica L. Ashe, Niamh Cahill, Carling Hay +6
Characterizing the spatio-temporal variability of relative sea level (RSL) and estimating local, regional, and global RSL trends requires statistical analysis of RSL data. Formal s…
Evolution of 21st Century Sea-level Rise Projections
Andra J. Garner, Jeremy L. Weiss, Adam Parris +4
The modern era of scientific global-mean sea-level rise (SLR) projections began in the early 1980s. In subsequent decades, understanding of driving processes has improved, and new…
Coastal flood implications of 1.5 °C, 2.0 °C, and 2.5 °C temperature stabilization targets in the 21st and 22nd century
D. J. Rasmussen, Klaus Bittermann, Maya K. Buchanan +4
Sea-level rise (SLR) is magnifying the frequency and severity of coastal flooding. The rate and amount of global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise is a function of the trajectory of globa…
Evolving understanding of Antarctic ice-sheet physics and ambiguity in probabilistic sea-level projections
Robert E. Kopp, Robert M. DeConto, Daniel A. Bader +6
Mechanisms such as ice-shelf hydrofracturing and ice-cliff collapse may rapidly increase discharge from marine-based ice sheets. Here, we link a probabilistic framework for sea-lev…
Tipping elements and climate-economic shocks: Pathways toward integrated assessment
Robert E. Kopp, Rachael Shwom, Gernot Wagner +1
The literature on the costs of climate change often draws a link between climatic 'tipping points' and large economic shocks, frequently called 'catastrophes'. The use of the phras…
Probability-weighted ensembles of U.S. county-level climate projections for climate risk analysis
D. J. Rasmussen, Malte Meinshausen, Robert E. Kopp
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time series of changes in physical climate parameters. Here, we develop two such met…
Allowances for evolving coastal flood risk under uncertain local sea-level rise
Maya K. Buchanan, Robert E. Kopp, Michael Oppenheimer +1
Sea-level rise (SLR) causes estimates of flood risk made under the assumption of stationary mean sea level to be biased low. However, adjustments to flood return levels made assumi…
Intrinsic Non-stationary Covariance Function for Climate Modeling
Chintan A. Dalal, Vladimir Pavlovic, Robert E. Kopp
Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a g…
Gaussian Process for Noisy Inputs with Ordering Constraints
Cuong Tran, Vladimir Pavlovic, Robert Kopp
We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning…
Past and future sea-level rise along the coast of North Carolina, USA
Robert E. Kopp, Benjamin P. Horton, Andrew C. Kemp +1
We evaluate relative sea level (RSL) trajectories for North Carolina, USA, in the context of tide-gauge measurements and geological sea-level reconstructions spanning the last $\ma…
Is there a hot spot of sea-level rise acceleration along the mid-Atlantic United States? A Gaussian process decomposition of tide gauge records
Robert E. Kopp
To test a hypothesized faster-than-global sea-level acceleration along the mid-Atlantic United States, I construct a Gaussian process model that decomposes tide gauge data into sho…
Global and local sea level during the Last Interglacial: A probabilistic assessment
Robert E. Kopp, Frederik J. Simons, Adam C. Maloof +1
The Last Interglacial (LIG) stage, with polar temperatures likely 3-5 C warmer than today, serves as a partial analogue for low-end future warming scenarios. Based upon a small set…