5 papers · 1 filter
DLESyM-Ocean: A Deep Learning Probabilistic Global Model for Simulating Present-Day Upper Ocean and Sea Ice
Zachary I Espinosa, Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay, William Yik +6
While AI has shown remarkable promise in atmospheric and meteorological forecasting, accurately simulating other components of the Earth system with AI remains an active frontier.…
Learning Accurate Storm-Scale Evolution from Observations
Jaideep Pathak, Mohammad Shoaib Abbas, Peter Harrington +10
Accurate short-term prediction of clouds and precipitation is critical for severe weather warnings, aviation safety, and renewable energy operations. Forecasts at this timescale ar…
Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +13
Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems pr…
A Practical Probabilistic Benchmark for AI Weather Models
Noah D. Brenowitz, Yair Cohen, Jaideep Pathak +6
Since the weather is chaotic, forecasts aim to predict the distribution of future states rather than make a single prediction. Recently, multiple data driven weather models have em…
Kilometer-Scale Convection Allowing Model Emulation using Generative Diffusion Modeling
Jaideep Pathak, Yair Cohen, Piyush Garg +8
Storm-scale convection-allowing models (CAMs) are an important tool for predicting the evolution of thunderstorms and mesoscale convective systems that result in damaging extreme w…