7 papers
DLESyM-Ocean: A Deep Learning Probabilistic Global Model for Simulating Present-Day Upper Ocean and Sea Ice
Zachary I Espinosa, Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay, William Yik +6
While AI has shown remarkable promise in atmospheric and meteorological forecasting, accurately simulating other components of the Earth system with AI remains an active frontier.…
ShardTensor: Domain Parallelism for Scientific Machine Learning
Corey Adams, Peter Harrington, Akshay Subramaniam +4
Scientific Machine Learning (SciML) faces unique challenges for extreme-resolution data, with mitigations that often fail to scale or degrade the accuracy of trained models. While…
Demystifying Data-Driven Probabilistic Medium-Range Weather Forecasting
Jean Kossaifi, Nikola Kovachki, Morteza Mardani +15
The recent revolution in data-driven methods for weather forecasting has lead to a fragmented landscape of complex, bespoke architectures and training strategies, obscuring the fun…
Learning Accurate Storm-Scale Evolution from Observations
Jaideep Pathak, Mohammad Shoaib Abbas, Peter Harrington +10
Accurate short-term prediction of clouds and precipitation is critical for severe weather warnings, aviation safety, and renewable energy operations. Forecasts at this timescale ar…
MoWE : A Mixture of Weather Experts
Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Romit Maulik, Peter Harrington +3
Data-driven weather models have recently achieved state-of-the-art performance, yet progress has plateaued in recent years. This paper introduces a Mixture of Experts (MoWE) approa…
Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +13
Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems pr…