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20142024
most citedHybrid Forecasting of Geopolitical Events

15 citations · 17 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2014 · stat.APShow all

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stat.AP2014

Irregular Leadership Changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models

Andreas Beger, Cassy L. Dorff, Michael D. Ward

We forecast Irregular Leadership Changes (ILC)--unexpected leadership changes in contravention of a state's established laws and conventions--for mid-2014 using predictions generat…