activity
20052007
most citedYear-ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers

5 citations · 26 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

7 papers

physics.ao-ph2007★ 5 cited

Predicting basin and landfalling hurricane numbers from sea surface temperature

Stephen Jewson, Roman Binter, Shree Khare +2

We are building a hurricane number prediction scheme based on first predicting main development region sea surface temperature (SST), then predicting the number of hurricanes in th…

physics.ao-ph2007★ 3 cited

Statistical Modelling of the Relationship Between Main Development Region Sea Surface Temperature and \emph{Landfalling} Atlantic Basin Hurricane Numbers

Roman Binter, Stephen Jewson, Shree Khare

We are building a hurricane number prediction scheme that relies, in part, on statistical modelling of the empirical relationship between Atlantic sea surface temperatures and land…

physics.ao-ph2006★ 3 cited

Year ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers: the optimal combination of multiple levels of activity since 1900

Roman Binter, Stephen Jewson, Shree Khare +2

In earlier work we considered methods for predicting future levels of hurricane activity based on the assumption that historical mean activity was at one constant level from 1900 t…

physics.ao-ph2006★ 2 cited

Year ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers: the optimal combination of long and short baselines for intense hurricanes

Stephen Jewson, Jeremy Penzer, Christopher Casey

In previous work, we have shown how to combine long and short historical baselines to make predictions of future hurricane numbers. We now ask: how should such combinations change…

physics.ao-ph2005★ 5 cited

Year ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers: the optimal combination of long and short baselines

Stephen Jewson, Christopher Casey, Jeremy Penzer

Annual levels of US landfalling hurricane activity averaged over the last 11 years (1995-2005) are higher than those averaged over the previous 95 years (1900-1994). How, then, sho…

physics.ao-ph2005★ 3 cited

Year-ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers: intense hurricanes

Shree Khare, Stephen Jewson

We continue with our program to derive simple practical methods that can be used to predict the number of US landfalling hurricanes a year in advance. We repeat an earlier study, b…