activity
20112024
most citedA Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods. II. Benchmarks, Metrics and Performance Results for Operational Solar Flare Forecasting Systems

120 citations · 742 across the 21 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

21 papers

physics.space-ph2024

A Multi-Model Ensemble System for the outer Heliosphere (MMESH): Solar Wind Conditions near Jupiter

M. J. Rutala, C. M. Jackman, M. J. Owens +4

How the solar wind influences the magnetospheres of the outer planets is a fundamentally important question, but is difficult to answer in the absence of consistent, simultaneous m…

astro-ph.SR2023

The science behind SURROUND: a constellation of CubeSats around the Sun

D. M. Weigt, L. A. Cañizares, S. A. Maloney +6

One of the greatest challenge facing current space weather monitoring operations is forecasting the arrival of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) wi…

astro-ph.SR2021★ 51 cited

Solar Flare Effects on the Earth's Lower Ionosphere

Laura A. Hayes, Oscar S. D. O'Hara, Sophie A. Murray +1

Solar flares significantly impact the conditions of the Earth's ionosphere. In particular, the sudden increase in X-ray flux during a flare penetrates down to the lowest-lying D-re…

astro-ph.SR2021★ 1 cited

The Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting (FLARECAST) Project: Flare forecasting in the big data & machine learning era

M. K. Georgoulis, D. S. Bloomfield, M. Piana +25

The EU funded the FLARECAST project, that ran from Jan 2015 until Feb 2018. FLARECAST had a R2O focus, and introduced several innovations into the discipline of solar flare forecas…

physics.space-ph2020★ 20 cited

Ensemble Forecasting of Major Solar Flares: Methods for Combining Models

Jordan A. Guerra, Sophie A. Murray, D. Shaun Bloomfield +1

One essential component of operational space weather forecasting is the prediction of solar flares. With a multitude of flare forecasting methods now available online it is still u…

astro-ph.SR2020★ 50 cited

A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods. IV. Evaluating Consecutive-Day Forecasting Patterns

Sung-Hong Park, K. D. Leka, Kanya Kusano +21

A crucial challenge to successful flare prediction is forecasting periods that transition between "flare-quiet" and "flare-active". Building on earlier studies in this series (Barn…