4 papers
Post-processing Probabilistic Forecasts of the Solar Wind by Data Mining Similar Scenarios
Daniel E. da Silva, Yash Parlikar, Shaela I. Jones +1
The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind spe…
Evaluating Solar Wind Forecast Using Magnetic Maps That Include Helioseismic Far-Side Information
Stephan G. Heinemann, Dan Yang, Shaela I. Jones +5
To model the structure and dynamics of the heliosphere well enough for high-quality forecasting, it is essential to accurately estimate the global solar magnetic field used as inne…
Ensemble Modeling of the Solar Wind Flow with Boundary Conditions Governed by Synchronic Photospheric Magnetograms. I. Multi-point Validation in the Inner Heliosphere
Dinesha V. Hegde, Tae K. Kim, Nikolai V. Pogorelov +2
The solar wind (SW) is a vital component of space weather, providing a background for solar transients such as coronal mass ejections, stream interaction regions, and energetic par…
Quantifying Uncertainties in Solar Wind Forecasting Due to Incomplete Solar Magnetic Field Information
Stephan G. Heinemann, Jens Pomoell, Ronald M. Caplan +5
Solar wind forecasting plays a crucial role in space weather prediction, yet significant uncertainties persist due to incomplete magnetic field observations of the Sun. Isolating t…