195 citations · 408 across the 22 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 2 filters
Sovereign Risk Indices and Bayesian Theory Averaging
Alex Lenkoski, Fredrik Lohne Aanes
In economic applications, model averaging has found principal use examining the validity of various theories related to observed heterogeneity in outcomes such as growth, developme…
Rapid adjustment and post-processing of temperature forecast trajectories
Nina Schuhen, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski
Modern weather forecasts are commonly issued as consistent multi-day forecast trajectories with a time resolution of 1-3 hours. Prior to issuing, statistical post-processing is rou…
Probabilistic Forecasting of Temporal Trajectories of Regional Power Production - Part 2: Photovoltaic Solar
Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Anders Løland, Alex Lenkoski
We propose a fully probabilistic prediction model for spatially aggregated solar photovoltaic (PV) power production at an hourly time scale with lead times up to several days using…
Probabilistic Forecasting of Temporal Trajectories of Regional Power Production - Part 1: Wind
Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Anders Løland, Alex Lenkoski
Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable…