15 citations · 16 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for
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stat.AP2022★ 1 cited
Bayesian modelling of the temporal evolution of seismicity using the ETAS.inlabru R-package
Mark Naylor, Francesco Serafini, Finn Lindgren +1
The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely used to model seismic sequences and underpins Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF). However, it remains challenging…
stat.AP2021
Ranking earthquake forecasts using proper scoring rules: Binary events in a low probability environment
Francesco Serafini, Mark Naylor, Finn Lindgren +2
Operational earthquake forecasting for risk management and communication during seismic sequences depends on our ability to select an optimal forecasting model. To do this, we need…