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math.ST2014
Inconsistency of Bayesian Inference for Misspecified Linear Models, and a Proposal for Repairing It
Peter Grünwald, Thijs van Ommen
We empirically show that Bayesian inference can be inconsistent under misspecification in simple linear regression problems, both in a model averaging/selection and in a Bayesian r…
stat.ME2014
Combining predictions from linear models when training and test inputs differ
Thijs van Ommen
Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs…