activity
20142025
most citedRisk-based decision making: estimands for sequential prediction under interventions

4 citations · 9 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

cs.LG2025

The Minimal Search Space for Conditional Causal Bandits

Francisco N. F. Q. Simoes, Itai Feigenbaum, Mehdi Dastani +1

Causal knowledge can be used to support decision-making problems. This has been recognized in the causal bandits literature, where a causal (multi-armed) bandit is characterized by…

cs.LG2024

Efficiently Deciding Algebraic Equivalence of Bow-Free Acyclic Path Diagrams

Thijs van Ommen

For causal discovery in the presence of latent confounders, constraints beyond conditional independences exist that can enable causal discovery algorithms to distinguish more pairs…

cs.LG2024

Fundamental Properties of Causal Entropy and Information Gain

Francisco N. F. Q. Simoes, Mehdi Dastani, Thijs van Ommen

Recent developments enable the quantification of causal control given a structural causal model (SCM). This has been accomplished by introducing quantities which encode changes in…

stat.ME2024★ 1 cited

The risks of risk assessment: causal blind spots when using prediction models for treatment decisions

Nan van Geloven, Ruth H Keogh, Wouter van Amsterdam +12

Clinicians increasingly rely on prediction models to guide treatment choices. Most prediction models, however, are developed using observational data that include some patients who…

stat.ME2023★ 4 cited

Risk-based decision making: estimands for sequential prediction under interventions

Kim Luijken, Paweł Morzywołek, Wouter van Amsterdam +14

Prediction models are used amongst others to inform medical decisions on interventions. Typically, individuals with high risks of adverse outcomes are advised to undergo an interve…

cs.LG2023

Causal Entropy and Information Gain for Measuring Causal Control

Francisco Nunes Ferreira Quialheiro Simoes, Mehdi Dastani, Thijs van Ommen

Artificial intelligence models and methods commonly lack causal interpretability. Despite the advancements in interpretable machine learning (IML) methods, they frequently assign i…

math.ST2022

Graphical Representations for Algebraic Constraints of Linear Structural Equations Models

Thijs van Ommen, Mathias Drton

The observational characteristics of a linear structural equation model can be effectively described by polynomial constraints on the observed covariance matrix. However, these pol…

stat.ME2015★ 4 cited

Robust Probability Updating

Thijs van Ommen, Wouter M. Koolen, Thijs E. Feenstra +1

This paper discusses an alternative to conditioning that may be used when the probability distribution is not fully specified. It does not require any assumptions (such as CAR: coa…

math.ST2014

Inconsistency of Bayesian Inference for Misspecified Linear Models, and a Proposal for Repairing It

Peter Grünwald, Thijs van Ommen

We empirically show that Bayesian inference can be inconsistent under misspecification in simple linear regression problems, both in a model averaging/selection and in a Bayesian r…

stat.ME2014

Combining predictions from linear models when training and test inputs differ

Thijs van Ommen

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs…