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stat.ME2026

Non-overlap Average Treatment Effect Bounds

Herbert P. Susmann, Alec McClean, Iván Díaz

The average treatment effect (ATE), the mean difference in potential outcomes under treatment and control, is a canonical causal effect. Overlap, which says that all subjects have…

stat.ME2026

Causal-DRF: Conditional Kernel Treatment Effect Estimation using Distributional Random Forest

Jeffrey Näf, Junhyung Park, Herbert Susmann

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is a commonly targeted statistical parameter for measuring the effect of a treatment conditional on covariates. However, the CATE wi…

stat.ME2025

Computationally and statistically efficient estimation of time-smoothed counterfactual curves

Herbert P. Susmann, Nicholas T. Williams, Richard Liu +2

Longitudinal causal inference is concerned with defining, identifying, and estimating the effect of a time-varying intervention on a time-varying outcome that is indexed by a follo…

stat.ME2025

Asymptotically Efficient Data-adaptive Penalized Shrinkage Estimation with Application to Causal Inference

Herbert P. Susmann, Yiting Li, Mara A. McAdams-DeMarco +2

A rich literature exists on constructing non-parametric estimators with optimal asymptotic properties. In addition to asymptotic guarantees, it is often of interest to design estim…

stat.ME2024

Doubly Robust Nonparametric Efficient Estimation for Provider Evaluation

Herbert Susmann, Yiting Li, Mara A. McAdams-DeMarco +2

Provider profiling has the goal of identifying healthcare providers with exceptional patient outcomes. When evaluating providers, adjustment is necessary to control for differences…

stat.ME2024

Longitudinal Generalizations of the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated for Multi-valued and Continuous Treatments

Herbert Susmann, Nicholas T. Williams, Kara E. Rudolph +1

The Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATT) is a common causal parameter defined as the average effect of a binary treatment among the subset of the population receiving trea…