most citedIs In-Context Learning in Large Language Models Bayesian? A Martingale Perspective

2 citations · 3 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

stat.ML2026

FairBED: Incorporating Fairness into Bayesian Experimental Design

Marcel Hedman, Emily Alger, Brieuc Lehmann +2

Bayesian experimental design (BED) has traditionally focused exclusively on collecting data that is maximally informative, with little consideration of other desirable dataset char…

stat.ME2026

Variational predictive resampling

Laura Battaglia, Stefano Cortinovis, Chris Holmes +2

Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification, but accurate posterior sampling with MCMC can be computationally prohibitive for modern applications. Variational…

stat.ML2024★ 2 cited

Is In-Context Learning in Large Language Models Bayesian? A Martingale Perspective

Fabian Falck, Ziyu Wang, Chris Holmes

In-context learning (ICL) has emerged as a particularly remarkable characteristic of Large Language Models (LLM): given a pretrained LLM and an observed dataset, LLMs can make pred…

cs.CL2024★ 1 cited

On Subjective Uncertainty Quantification and Calibration in Natural Language Generation

Ziyu Wang, Chris Holmes

Applications of large language models often involve the generation of free-form responses, in which case uncertainty quantification becomes challenging. This is due to the need to…

stat.ML2024

On Uncertainty Quantification for Near-Bayes Optimal Algorithms

Ziyu Wang, Chris Holmes

Bayesian modelling allows for the quantification of predictive uncertainty which is crucial in safety-critical applications. Yet for many machine learning (ML) algorithms, it is di…