activity
20232026
most citedConfidence in the Reasoning of Large Language Models

2 citations · 4 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

stat.ME2026

Predicting fixed-sample test decisions enables anytime-valid inference

Chris Holmes, Stephen Walker

Statistical hypothesis tests typically use prespecified sample sizes, yet data often arrive sequentially. Interim analyses invalidate classical error guarantees, while existing seq…

cs.AI2025★ 1 cited

A Real-World Evaluation of LLM Medication Safety Reviews in NHS Primary Care

Oliver Normand, Esther Borsi, Mitch Fruin +6

Large language models (LLMs) often match or exceed clinician-level performance on medical benchmarks, yet very few are evaluated on real clinical data or examined beyond headline m…

cs.CL2024★ 2 cited

Confidence in the Reasoning of Large Language Models

Yudi Pawitan, Chris Holmes

There is a growing literature on reasoning by large language models (LLMs), but the discussion on the uncertainty in their responses is still lacking. Our aim is to assess the exte…

stat.ME2024

A general framework for probabilistic model uncertainty

Vik Shirvaikar, Stephen G. Walker, Chris Holmes

Existing approaches to model uncertainty typically either compare models using a quantitative model selection criterion or evaluate posterior model probabilities having set a prior…

stat.ME2023★ 1 cited

Targeting relative risk heterogeneity with causal forests

Vik Shirvaikar, Andrea Storås, Xi Lin +1

The identification of heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) across subgroups is of significant interest in clinical trial analysis. Several state-of-the-art HTE estimation methods,…