266 citations · 492 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
A Bayesian analysis of the time through the order penalty in baseball
Ryan S. Brill, Sameer K. Deshpande, Abraham J. Wyner
As a baseball game progresses, batters appear to perform better the more times they face a particular pitcher. The apparent drop-off in pitcher performance from one time through th…
A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?
Blakeley B. McShane, Abraham J. Wyner
Predicting historic temperatures based on tree rings, ice cores, and other natural proxies is a difficult endeavor. The relationship between proxies and temperature is weak and the…
Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling of Hitting Performance in Baseball
Shane T. Jensen, Blake McShane, Abraham J. Wyner
We have developed a sophisticated statistical model for predicting the hitting performance of Major League baseball players. The Bayesian paradigm provides a principled method for…
Bayesball: A Bayesian hierarchical model for evaluating fielding in major league baseball
Shane T. Jensen, Kenneth E. Shirley, Abraham J. Wyner
The use of statistical modeling in baseball has received substantial attention recently in both the media and academic community. We focus on a relatively under-explored topic: the…