266 citations · 492 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for
11 papers
Entropy-Based Strategies for Multi-Bracket Pools
Ryan S. Brill, Abraham J. Wyner, Ian J. Barnett
Much work in the parimutuel betting literature has discussed estimating event outcome probabilities or developing optimal wagering strategies, particularly for horse race betting.…
A Bayesian analysis of the time through the order penalty in baseball
Ryan S. Brill, Sameer K. Deshpande, Abraham J. Wyner
As a baseball game progresses, batters appear to perform better the more times they face a particular pitcher. The apparent drop-off in pitcher performance from one time through th…
Introducing Grid WAR: Rethinking WAR for Starting Pitchers
Ryan S. Brill, Abraham J. Wyner
The baseball statistic "Wins Above Replacement" (WAR) has emerged as one of the most popular evaluation metrics. But it is not readily observed and tabulated; WAR is an estimate of…
Making Sense of Random Forest Probabilities: a Kernel Perspective
Matthew A. Olson, Abraham J. Wyner
A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simpl…
Yule's "Nonsense Correlation" Solved!
Philip Ernst, Larry Shepp, Abraham Wyner
In this paper, we resolve a longstanding open statistical problem. The problem is to mathematically confirm Yule's 1926 empirical finding of "nonsense correlation" (\cite{Yule}). W…
Explaining the Success of AdaBoost and Random Forests as Interpolating Classifiers
Abraham J. Wyner, Matthew Olson, Justin Bleich +1
There is a large literature explaining why AdaBoost is a successful classifier. The literature on AdaBoost focuses on classifier margins and boosting's interpretation as the optimi…