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nlin.CD2006
Using dimension reduction to improve outbreak predictability of multistrain diseases
Leah B. Shaw, Lora Billings, Ira B. Schwartz
Multistrain diseases have multiple distinct coexisting serotypes (strains). For some diseases, such as dengue fever, the serotypes interact by antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE),…
nlin.CD2005
Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control
I. B. Schwartz, L. Billings, E. M. Bollt
We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear. randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks, pri…