5 papers · 1 filter
Limits of Predictability in Civil Litigation
Sandro Claudio Lera, Shahrokh Firouzi, Jonathan Habshush +1
Legal practice routinely relies on informal assessments of case strength, yet no large-scale empirical benchmark exists for how predictable civil-litigation outcomes actually are.…
The Determinants of Judicial Promotion: Politics, Prestige, and Performance
Ilya Davidson, Sandro Claudio Lera, Robert Mahari
Judicial promotions shape the composition of higher courts, yet their determinants remain poorly understood. This paper examines promotion from U.S. District Courts to Courts of Ap…
HawkesRank: Event-Driven Centrality for Real-Time Importance Ranking
Didier Sornette, Yishan Luo, Sandro Claudio Lera
Quantifying influence in networks is important across science, economics, and public health, yet widely used centrality measures remain limited: they rely on static representations…
Social feedback amplifies emotional language in online video live chats
Yishan Luo, Didier Sornette, Sandro Claudio Lera
A growing share of human interactions now occurs online, where the expression and perception of emotions are often amplified and distorted. Yet, the interplay between different emo…
Early Career Citations Capture Judicial Idiosyncrasies and Predict Judgments
Robert Mahari, Sandro Claudio Lera
Judicial impartiality is a cornerstone of well-functioning legal systems. We assemble a dataset of 112,312 civil lawsuits in U.S. District Courts to study the effect of extraneous…