415 citations · 1.2k across the 34 of their papers we have counts for
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physics.space-ph2018★ 38 cited
On the generation of probabilistic forecasts from deterministic models
Enrico Camporeale, Xiangning Chu, Oleksiy Agapitov +1
Most of the methods that produce space weather forecasts are based on deterministic models. In order to generate a probabilistic forecast, a model needs to be run several times sam…
stat.ML2018★ 1 cited
Accuracy-Reliability Cost Function for Empirical Variance Estimation
Enrico Camporeale
In this paper we focus on the problem of assigning uncertainties to single-point predictions. We introduce a cost function that encodes the trade-off between accuracy and reliabili…