4 papers
Accurate and Reliable Uncertainty Estimates for Deterministic Predictions Extensions to Under and Overpredictions
Rileigh Bandy, Enrico Camporeale, Andong Hu +2
Computational models support high-stakes decisions across engineering and science, and practitioners increasingly seek probabilistic predictions to quantify uncertainty in such mod…
PARIS: Pruning Algorithm via the Representer theorem for Imbalanced Scenarios
Enrico Camporeale
The challenge of \textbf{imbalanced regression} arises when standard Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) biases models toward high-frequency regions of the data distribution, causing…
Neural Enhancement of the Traditional Wang-Sheeley-Arge Solar Wind Relation
Prateek Mayank, Enrico Camporeale, Arpit K. Shrivastav +2
The Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model has been the cornerstone of operational solar wind forecasting for nearly two decades, owing to its simplicity and physics-based formalism. Howeve…
Verification of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center solar flare forecast (1998-2024)
Enrico Camporeale, Thomas E. Berger
The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) issues the official U.S. government forecast for M-class and X-class solar flares, yet the skill of these forecasts has never been c…