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cs.AI2026
Making Alternative Data Work: Context-Augmented LLMs for Financial Forecasting
Jihoon Kwon, Lawrence Liu, Daekyung Park +15
When forecasting a firm's future financial performance, alternative data - data collected from non-traditional sources such as consumer transactions, web traffic, and prediction ma…
cs.AI2026
When do prophets profit in prediction markets?
Anri Gu, Nicole Kagan, Alec Sun +2
Prediction markets aggregate dispersed beliefs into prices that act as probabilistic forecasts of uncertain events. Classical theory establishes a clean equivalence between forecas…