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math.DS2026
Causal Fingerprints Reveal Hidden Mechanisms in Partially-Observed Dynamical Systems
Zhang Jiang, Marios Andreou, Nan Chen
In partially-observed dynamical systems, distinct hidden mechanisms can produce similar observable summary statistics while explaining individual events differently. We introduce c…
math.DS2026
Mechanisms and Pathways of Extreme Events in Partially-Observed Stochastic Dynamical Systems
Charlotte Moser, Nan Chen, Marios Andreou
Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major chal…