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20092026
most citedA General Approach for Predicting the Behavior of the Supreme Court of the United States

466 citations · 732 across the 25 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing physics.soc-phShow all

9 papers · 1 filter

physics.soc-ph2019

Sensitivity of collective outcomes identifies pivotal components

Edward D. Lee, Daniel M. Katz, Michael J. Bommarito +1

A social system is susceptible to perturbation when its collective properties depend sensitively on a few pivotal components. Using the information geometry of minimal models from…

physics.soc-ph2017

Crowdsourcing accurately and robustly predicts Supreme Court decisions

Daniel Martin Katz, Michael James Bommarito, Josh Blackman

Scholars have increasingly investigated "crowdsourcing" as an alternative to expert-based judgment or purely data-driven approaches to predicting the future. Under certain conditio…

physics.soc-ph2017★ 466 cited

A General Approach for Predicting the Behavior of the Supreme Court of the United States

Daniel Martin Katz, Michael J Bommarito, Josh Blackman

Building on developments in machine learning and prior work in the science of judicial prediction, we construct a model designed to predict the behavior of the Supreme Court of the…

physics.soc-ph2017

Measuring the temperature and diversity of the U.S. regulatory ecosystem

Michael J Bommarito, Daniel Martin Katz

Over the last 23 years, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has required over 34,000 companies to file over 165,000 annual reports. These reports, the so-called "Form 10-Ks…

physics.soc-ph2015★ 2 cited

Law on the Market? Abnormal Stock Returns and Supreme Court Decision-Making

Daniel Martin Katz, Michael J Bommarito, Tyler Soellinger +1

What happens when the Supreme Court of the United States decides a case impacting one or more publicly-traded firms? While many have observed anecdotal evidence linking decisions o…

physics.soc-ph2014★ 32 cited

Predicting the Behavior of the Supreme Court of the United States: A General Approach

Daniel Martin Katz, Michael J Bommarito, Josh Blackman

Building upon developments in theoretical and applied machine learning, as well as the efforts of various scholars including Guimera and Sales-Pardo (2011), Ruger et al. (2004), an…

physics.soc-ph2009

Properties of the United States Code Citation Network

Michael J. Bommarito, Daniel Martin Katz

The United States Code (Code) is an important source of Federal law that is produced by the interactions of many heterogeneous actors in a complex, dynamic space. The Code can be r…

physics.soc-ph2009★ 37 cited

Distance Measures for Dynamic Citation Networks

Michael J. Bommarito, Daniel Martin Katz, Jon Zelner +1

Acyclic digraphs arise in many natural and artificial processes. Among the broader set, dynamic citation networks represent a substantively important form of acyclic digraphs. For…

physics.soc-ph2009★ 4 cited

On the Stability of Community Detection Algorithms on Longitudinal Citation Data

Michael James Bommarito, Daniel Martin Katz, Jon Zelner

There are fundamental differences between citation networks and other classes of graphs. In particular, given that citation networks are directed and acyclic, methods developed pri…