565 citations · 2.9k across the 63 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
Blackwell Approachability and Gradient Equilibrium are Equivalent
Brian W. Lee, Nika Haghtalab, Michael I. Jordan +1
Gradient equilibrium (GEQ) is a recently introduced online optimization framework that generalizes first-order stationarity from offline optimization and abstracts problems like on…
Gradient Equilibrium in Online Learning: Theory and Applications
Anastasios N. Angelopoulos, Michael I. Jordan, Ryan J. Tibshirani
We present a new perspective on online learning that we refer to as gradient equilibrium: a sequence of iterates achieves gradient equilibrium if the average of gradients of losses…
Conformal PID Control for Time Series Prediction
Anastasios N. Angelopoulos, Emmanuel J. Candes, Ryan J. Tibshirani
We study the problem of uncertainty quantification for time series prediction, with the goal of providing easy-to-use algorithms with formal guarantees. The algorithms we present b…
Recalibrating probabilistic forecasts of epidemics
Aaron Rumack, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Roni Rosenfeld
Distributional forecasts are important for a wide variety of applications, including forecasting epidemics. Often, forecasts are miscalibrated, or unreliable in assigning uncertain…