33 citations · 39 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
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cs.CY2024★ 2 cited
Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy
Philipp Schoenegger, Indre Tuminauskaite, Peter S. Park +1
Human forecasting accuracy in practice relies on the 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, in which predictions about future events are significantly improved by aggregating across a crowd…
cs.CY2024★ 3 cited
AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy
Philipp Schoenegger, Peter S. Park, Ezra Karger +2
Large language models (LLMs) match and sometimes exceeding human performance in many domains. This study explores the potential of LLMs to augment human judgement in a forecasting…