7 citations · 14 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
Design and Implementation of a 25-Yr Pseudoprospective Earthquake Forecasting Experiment in China (AoyuX)
Jiawei Li, Qingyuan Zhang, Didier Sornette
Forecast models in statistical seismology are commonly evaluated using log-likelihood (LL) scores for the full distribution of earthquake counts. However, fat tails and out-…
Unifying the Gutenberg-Richter Law with Probabilistic Catalog Completeness
Jiawei Li, Xinyi Wang, Didier Sornette
We propose a probabilistic approach to modeling catalog incompleteness through four candidate augmented Gutenberg-Richter (GR) laws, which incorporates incompleteness into the freq…
Haicheng and Tangshan Earthquakes as potential Dragon-Kings
Jiawei Li, Didier Sornette
The dragon-king earthquake hypothesis proposes that some very large to great earthquakes are not merely the extreme end of the frequency-magnitude Gutenberg-Richter distribution (F…
Estimating Magnitude Completeness in Earthquake Catalogs: A Comparative Study of Catalog-based Methods
Xinyi Wang, Jiawei Li, Ao Feng +1
Without rigorous attention to the completeness of earthquake catalogs, claims of new discoveries or forecasting skills cannot be deemed credible. Therefore, estimating the complete…