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stat.ME2026

Fast Semiparametric Density Regression with Weight-localized Predictive Recursion

Jonathan Lin, Surya Tokdar

Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast algorithm for nonparametric estimation of a mixing density, with connections to sequential Bayesian updating under a Dirichlet process prior and…

stat.ME2025

Density Discontinuity Regression

Surya T Tokdar, Rik Sen, Haoliang Zheng +1

Many policies hinge on a continuous variable exceeding a threshold, prompting strategic behavior by agents to stay on the favorable side. This creates density discontinuities at cu…

stat.ME2025

Modeling Neural Switching via Drift-Diffusion Models

Nicholas Marco, Jennifer M. Groh, Surya T. Tokdar

Neural encoding is a field in neuroscience that focuses on characterizing how information from stimuli is encoded in the spiking activity of neurons. When more than one stimulus is…

stat.ME2025

Stochastic Block Covariance Matrix Estimation

Yunran Chen, Surya T Tokdar, Jennifer M Groh

Motivated by a neuroscience application we study the problem of statistical estimation of a high-dimensional covariance matrix with a block structure. The block model embeds a stru…

stat.ME2025

A Bayesian decision-theoretic approach to sparse estimation

Aihua Li, Surya T. Tokdar, Jason Xu

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares wit…

stat.ME2024

High-dimensional Bayesian Fourier Analysis For Detecting Circadian Gene Expressions

Silvia Montagna, Irina Irincheeva, Surya T. Tokdar

In genomic applications, there is often interest in identifying genes whose time-course expression trajectories exhibit periodic oscillations with a period of approximately 24 hour…